Macroeconomics

Economics 204

Study Guide I

Chapter 1

Ten Principles of Economics

No! I do not expect you to memorize the ten points. We have used them and will continue to refer back to them so you should understand their meaning, but no memorization.

A quick review:

v People Face Tradeoffs

Ø There is no such thing as a free lunch!

Ø Every choice has a tradeoff. These can range from the government tradeoff between national defense and consumer goods (guns vs. butter) to your tradeoff between sleeping and attending class.

Ø Frequently we encounter a tradeoff between efficiency and equity

v The Cost of Something is What You Give Up to Get IT

Ø Making good decisions means knowing the full costs, including the opportunity costs, of making one choice over another.

Ø What is an opportunity cost? Can you cite examples in your life?

v Rational People Think at the Margin

Ø How does a small incremental adjustment or a marginal change affect your existing plan?

Ø Why should we ignore the costs or benefits that occurred in the past?

v People Respond to Incentives

Ø When marginal benefits or marginal costs change your incentives will change.

Ø Provide some examples where your incentives have changed

v Trade Can Make Everyone Better Off

Ø Even though there is competition among consumers and among producers in different countries, countries can benefit from specializing in what they do best and trade with each other.

v Markets are Usually a Good Way to Organize Economic Activity

Ø Compare the planned economy of the former Soviet Union to the market economy of the United States

Ø Adam Smith explained this invisible hand in 1776, The Wealth of Nations.

§ When household and firms do what is best for themselves, they end up doing what is best for society, as if guided by an invisible hand or market forces

Ø When the government interferes with markets by changing prices through taxation or price controls, the invisible fails and resources are not allocated in the best possible way. That is social welfare is not maximized when the government interferes.

v Governments can sometimes improve market outcomes

Ø There are two reasons for government intervention: to change the (i) Efficiency, the size of the economic pie or (ii) Equity, how the economic pie is divided.

Ø Sometimes the invisible hand fails. Markets can fail to allocate resources efficiently if the economy has externalities or an economic player has market power.

v A country’s standard of living depends on its ability to produce goods and services

Ø Differences in standard of living in nations around the world can be attributed to differences in productivity.

Ø What is productivity?

Ø How can the government use public policy to change productivity?

v Prices Rise when the Government Prints Too Much Money

Ø Examples: The German Hyperinflation and the inflation of Latin America and South America

Ø What is inflation?

v Society Faces a Short-Run Tradeoff Between Inflation and Unemployment

Ø Reducing inflation is often thought to cause a rise in unemployment.

Ø Are there public policy implications based on the tradeoff? How does the structures of the US affect your answer?

Do you know the economic jargon?

Economics, Scarcity, Efficiency, Equity, Opportunity Cost, Marginal Changes, Market Economy. Invisible Hand, Market Power, Productivity, Inflation

Chapter 2

Thinking Like and Economist

Economists behave like scientists. We hypothesize, collect data, and analyze the data to see if our theories are supported or not.

To start thinking like an economist, we examine two simple models:

Circular Flow Model

Production Possibilities Frontier

Economic Jargon: (Relate the jargon two the above models.)

Factors of Production, Product Markets , Resource Markets, Efficient, Opportunity Cost, Macroeconomics, Microeconomics

Lastly, economics involves both positive questions and normative questions. Positive questions are great test questions. Normative questions are great homework problems and are usually poor test questions, but you may still see one on the test.

Chapter 3

Interdependence and the Gains From Trade

A continuation of the production possibilities frontier and an excellent example of some of our ten principles.

Chapter 10

Measuring a Nation's Income

  1. National Income Accounting:

            National income accounts are an accounting framework useful in measuring economic activity.

  1. Three approaches--all produce the same measurement of the production of the economy.
  2. Why are all three approaches the same:  We assume no unsold goods (at this point) then the market value if goods and services must equal the amount buyers spend to purchase them. (production =expenditure)  What the sell receives (income) must equal to what is spent (expenditure).

 

  1. Gross Domestic Product

    GNP=output produced by domestically owned factors of production.

    GDP=ouput produced with the borders of a country

 

The market value if a final goods and services produced within a country in a given time period

Chapter 11

Consumer Price Index

KEY POINTS:

  1. The consumer price index shows the cost of a basket of goods and services relative to the cost of the same basket in the base year. The index is used to measure the overall level of prices in the economy. The percentage change in the price level measures the inflation rate.
  2. The consumer price index is an imperfect measure of the cost of living for three reasons. First, it does not take into account consumers’ ability to substitute toward goods that become relatively cheaper over time. Second, it does not take into account increases in the purchasing power of a dollar due to the introduction of new goods. Third, it is distorted by unmeasured changes in the quality of goods and services. Because of these measurement problems, the CPI overstates annual inflation by about 1 percentage point.
  3. Although the GDP deflator also measures the overall level of prices in the economy, it differs from the consumer price index because it includes goods and services produced rather than goods and services consumed. As a result, imported goods affect the consumer price index but not the GDP deflator. In addition, while the consumer price index uses a fixed basket of goods, the GDP deflator automatically changes the group of goods and services over time as the composition of GDP changes.
  4. Dollar figures from different points in time do not represent a valid comparison of purchasing power. To compare a dollar figure from the past to a dollar figure today, the older figure should be inflated using a price index.
  5. Various laws and private contracts use price indexes to correct for the effects of inflation. The tax laws, however, are only partially indexed for inflation.
  6. A correction for inflation is especially important when looking at data on interest rates. The nominal interest rate is the interest rate usually reported; it is the rate at which the number of dollars in a savings account increases over time. By contrast, the real interest rate takes into account changes in the value of the dollar over time. The real interest rate equals the nominal interest rate minus the rate of inflation.

How to calculate the CPI

1. Fix the basket.

a. The Bureau of Labor Statistics uses surveys to determine a representative bundle of goods and services purchased by a typical consumer.

b. Example: 100 hot dogs and 50 hamburgers.

2. Find the prices.

a. Prices for each of the goods and services in the basket must be determined for each time period.

b. Example:

 

Year

Price of Hot Dogs

Price of Hamburgers

2001

$1

$2

2002

$2

$3

2003

$3

$4

3. Compute the basket’s cost.

a. By keeping the basket the same, only prices are being allowed change. This allows us to isolate the effects of price changes over time.

b. Example:

Cost in 2001 = ($1 × 100) + ($2 × 50) = $200.

Cost in 2002 = ($2 × 100) + ($3 × 50) = $350.

Cost in 2003 = ($3 × 100) + ($4 × 50) = $500.

4. Choose a base year and compute the index.

a. The base year is the benchmark against which other years are compared.

b. The formula for calculating the price index is:

 

c. Example (using 2001 as the base year):

CPI for 2001 = ($200)/($200) × 100 = 100.

CPI for 2002 = ($350)/($200) × 100 = 175.

CPI for 2003 = ($500)/($200) × 100 = 250.

5. Compute the inflation rate.

a. Definition of Inflation Rate: the percentage change in the price index from the preceding period.

 

b. The formula used to calculate the inflation rate is:

 

c. Example:

Inflation Rate for 2002 = (175 – 100)/100 × 100% = 75%.

Inflation Rate for 2003 = (250 – 175)/175 × 100% = 43%.

 

Problems in Measuring the Cost of Living

1. Substitution Bias

a. When the price of one good changes, consumers often respond by substituting another good in its place.

b. The CPI does not allow for this substitution; it is calculated using a fixed basket of goods and services.

c. This implies that the CPI overstates the increase in the cost of living over time.

2. Introduction of New Goods

a. When a new good is introduced, consumers have a wider variety of goods and services to choose from.

b. This makes every dollar more valuable, which means that there is an increase in the purchasing power of the dollar.

c. Because the market basket is not revised often enough, these new goods are left out of the bundle of goods and services included in the basket.

3. Unmeasured Quality Change

a. If the quality of a good falls from one year to the next, the value of a dollar falls; if quality rises, the value of the dollar rises.

b. Attempts are made to correct prices for changes in quality, but it is often difficult to do so because quality is hard to measure.

Chapter 4

The Market Forces of Supply and Demand

Even though the book does not emphasize this, we are creating a model and all models start with assumptions.

Assumptions:

  • All goods are the same also know as homogeneous.
  • There are many buyers and many sellers and none can influence the market price.
  • Everyone is a price taker

Some review questions:

 

 

Now that we have supply and Demand, can you apply the model to real situations?

 

Does that mean you need to memorize all of the factors? No!   I will not ask you to list them.  However, if I state that one on the factors has changed, you should know whether supply of demand has changed and in which direction.