1. Hula hoop fabricators cost $100 each. The Hi-Ho hula Hoop Company is trying to decide how many of these machines to buy. HHHHC expects to produce the following numbers of hoops each year for each level of capital stock shown.

                Number of Fabricators                                                                 Number of Hoops

Produced per Year

0                                                                                                                                                                     0

1                                                                                                                                                                     100

2                                                                                                                                                                     150

3                                                                                                                                                                     180

4                                                                                                                                                                     195

5                                                                                                                                                                     205

6                                                                                                                                                                     210

 

Hula hoops have a real value of $1 each. HHHHC has no other costs besides the cost of fabricators.

a.       Find the expected future marginal product of capital (in terms of dollars) for each level of capital. The MPKf for the third fabricator, for example, is the real value of the extra output obtained when the third fabricator is added

(a)   This chart shows the MPKf as the increase in output from adding another fabricator:

# Fabricators

Output

MPKf

0

    0

1

100

100

2

150

50

3

180

30

4

195

15

5

205

10

6

210

5


b.      If the real interest rate is 12% per year and the depreciation rate of capital is 20% per year, find the user cost of capital (in dollars per fabricator per year). How many fabricators should HHHHC buy?

(b)  uc = (r + d)pK = (0.12 + 0.20)$100 = $32. HHHHC should buy two fabricators, since at two fabricators, MPKf = 50 > 32 = uc. But at three fabricators, MPKf = 30 < 32 = uc. You want to add fabricators only if the future marginal product of capital exceeds the user cost of capital. The MPKf of the third fabricator is less than its user cost, so it should not be added.

c.       Repeat Part (b) for a real interest rate of 8% per year

(c)  When r = 0.08, uc = (0.08 + 0.20)$100 = $28. Now they should buy three fabricators, since MPKf = 30 > 28 = uc for the third fabricator and MPKf = 15 < 28 = uc for the fourth fabricator.

d.      Repeat Part (b) for a 40% tax on HHHHC’s sales revenues.

(d)  With taxes, they should add additional fabricators as long as (1 - t)MPKf > uc. Since t = 0.4, 1 - t = 0.6. They should buy just one fabricator, since (1 - t)MPKf = 0.6 ´ 100 = 60 > 32 = uc. They shouldn’t buy two, since then (1 - τ)MPKf = 0.6 ´ 50 = 30 < 32 = uc.

e.       A technical innovation doubles the number of hoops a fabricator can produce. How many fabricators should HHHHC buy when the real interest rate is 12% per year? 8% per year? Assume that there are no taxes and that the depreciation rate is still 20% per year.

(e)  When output doubles, the MPKf doubles as well. At r = 0.12, they should buy three fabricators, since then MPKf = 60 > 32 = uc; they shouldn’t buy four, since then MPKf = 30 < 32 = uc.

      At r = 0.08, they should buy four fabricators, since then MPKf = 30 > 28 = uc; they shouldn’t buy five, since then MPKf = 20 < 28 = uc.

 

2. An economy has full-employment output of 6000. Government purchases, G, are 1200. Desired consumptions and desired investment are

                                Cd =3600 – 2000r + 0.10Y, and

                                Id = 1200 – 4000r,

Where Y is output and r is the real interest rate.

a.       Find an equation relating desired national saving, Sd, to r and Y

(a)   Sd = Y - Cd - G

= Y - (3600 - 2000r + 0.1Y) - 1200

= -4800 + 2000r + 0.9Y

b.      Using both versions of the goods market equilibrium conditions, Eqs. (4.7) and (4.8), find the real interest rate that clears the good market. Assume that output equals full-employment output.

(b)  (1) Using Eq. (4.7): Y = Cd + Id + G

Y = (3600 - 2000r + 0.1Y) + (1200 - 4000r) + 1200

= 6000 - 6000r + 0.1Y

So 0.9Y = 6000 - 6000r

At full employment, Y = 6000. Solving 0.9 ´ 6000 = 6000 - 6000r, we get r = 0.10.

 

      (2) Using Eq. (4.8):

                                                                               Sd = Id

-4800 + 2000r + 0.9Y = 1200 - 4000r

0.9Y = 6000 - 6000r

When Y = 6000, r = 0.10.

So we can use either Eq. (4.7) or (4.8) to get to the same result.  Because they are the same I only graded that you did at least one.

c.       Government purchases rise to 1440. How does this increase change the equation describing desired national saving? Show the change graphically. What happens to the market-clearing real interest rate?

(c)  When G = 1440, desired saving becomes Sd = Y - Cd - G = Y - (3600 - 2000r + 0.1Y) - 1440 =  -5040 + 2000r + 0.9Y.
 Sd is now 240 less for any given r and Y; this shows up as a shift in the Sd line from S1 to S2 in the Figure

04x03

Figure


Setting Sd = Id, we get:

-5040 + 2000r + 0.9Y = 1200 - 4000r

6000r + 0.9Y = 6240

At Y = 6000, this is 6000r = 6240 - (0.9 ´ 6000) = 840, so r = 0.14. The market-clearing real interest rate increases from 10% to 14%.

 

3. Suppose that the economywide expected future marginal product of capital is MPKf = 20 – 0.02K, where K is the future capital stock. The depreciation rate of capital, d, is 20% per period. The current capital stock is 900 units of capital. The price of a unit of capital is 1 unit of output. Firms pay taxes equal to 50% of their output. The consumption function in the economy is C= 100 + 0.5Y-200r, where C is consumption, Y is output, and r is the real interest rate. Government purchases equal 200, and full-employment output is 1000.

                a. suppose that the real interest rate is 10% per period. What are the values of the tax-adjusted user cost of capital, the desired future capital stock, and the desired level of investment?

 

Some were confused about this problem.  The issue is that in this answer the tax rate is 15% as compared to 50% as stated in the problem.  I will let you walk through the problem to prove this to yourself.  It is much too difficult for a 50 min exam, but the process is useful to walk through.

(a)   r = 0.10

uc/(1 - τ) = (r + d)pK/(1 - t) = [(.1 + 0.2) ´ 1]/(1 - 0.15) = 0.35.

MPKf = uc/(1 - t), so 20 - 0.02K = 0.35; solving this gives K = 982.5.

Since K - K-1 = I - dK, I = K - K-1 + dK = 982.5 - 900 + (.2 ´ 900) = 262.5.

                b. Now consider the real interest rate determined by goods market equilibrium. This part of the problem will guide you to this interest rate.

                                i. Write the tax-adjusted user cost of capital as a function of the real interest rate r. also write the desired future capital stock and desired investment as functions of r.

                                ii. Use the investment function derived in Part (i) along with the consumption function and government purchases, to calculate the real interest rate that clears the goods market. What are the goods market-clearing values of consumption, saving, and investment? What are the tax-adjusted user cost of capital and the desired capital stock in this equilibrium?

 

 

(b)  i.  Solving for this in general:

uc/(1 - t) = (r + d)pK/(1 - τ) = [(r + .2) ´ 1]/(1 - 0.15) = .235 + 1.176r.

MPKf = uc/(1 - t), so 20 - 0.02K = 0.235 + 1.176r; solving this gives K = 988.25 - 58.8r.

I = K - K-1 + dK = 988.25 - 58.8r - 900 + (0.2 ´ 900) = 268.25 - 58.8r.

              ii.  Y = C + I + G

1000 = [100 + (.5 ´ 1000) - 200r] + (268.25 - 58.8r) + 200

1000 = 1068.25 - 258.8r, so 258.8r = 68.25

r = 0.264

C = 100 + (0.5 ´ 1000) - (200 × 0.264) = 547.2

I = 268.25 - (58.8 × 0.264) = 252.7 = S

uc/(1 - t) = 0.235 + (1.176 ´ 0.264) = 0.545

K = 988.25 - (58.8 × 0.264) = 972.7

 

 

 

(a)   To find the equilibrium interest rate (rw), we must first calculate the current account for each country as a function of rw. Then we can find the value of rw that clears the goods market, that is, where CA + CAFor = 0.

      Home:

      Cd = 320 + 0.4(1000 - 200) - 200rw

           = 320 + 320 - 200 rw

           = 640 - 200 rw

      CA = NX = SdId = Y – (Cd + Id + G)

            = 1000 – (640 – 200 rw + 150 – 200rw + 275)

            = –65 + 400 rw

      Foreign:

    

      CAFor = NXFor = SdFor - IdFor = YFor - (CdFor + IdFor + GFor)

               = 1500 - (960 - 300rw + 225 - 300rw + 300)

               = 15 + 600 rw


      At equilibrium, CA + CAFor = 0, so:

      –65 + 400 rw + 15 + 600 rw = 0

      –50 + 1000 rw = 0

      rw = 0.05

      C = 640 - 200 rw = 630

      CFor = 960 - 300 rw = 945

      S = Y - C - G = 1000 - 630 - 275 = 95

      SFor = YFor - CFor - GFor = 1500 - 945 - 300 = 255

      I = 150 - 200 rw = 140

      IFor = 225 - 300 rw = 210

      CA = S - I = 95 - 140 = -45

      CAFor = SFor - IFor = 255 - 210 = 45

(b)  Cd = 320 + 0.4(1000 - 250) - 200 rw

           = 320 + 300 - 200 rw

           = 620 - 200 rw

      CA = NX = Sd - Id = Y - (Cd + Id + G)

            = 1000 - (620 - 200 rw + 150 - 200 rw + 325)

            = -95 + 400 rw

      At equilibrium, CA + CAFor = 0, so:

      -95 + 400 rw + 15 + 600 rw = 0

      -80 + 1000 rw = 0

      rw = 0.08

      C = 620 - 200 rw = 604

      CFor = 960 - 300 rw = 936

      S = Y - C - G = 1000 - 604 - 325 = 71

      SFor = YFor - CFor - GFor = 1500 - 936 - 300 = 264

      I = 150 - 200 rw = 134

      IFor = 225 - 300 rw = 201

      CA = S - I = 71 - 134 = -63

      CAFor = SFor - IFor = 264 - 201 = 63

      So a balanced-budget increase in government spending increases the home country’s current account deficit.

 

 

(a)   The home country’s saving curve shifts to the right, from S1 to S2 in Figure 5.5. The real world interest rate falls, so that the current account surplus in the home country equals the current account deficit in the foreign country. From Figure 5.5, S rises, I rises, CA rises, rw falls.

Figure 5.5


(b)  The foreign country’s saving curve shifts to the right, from to in Figure 5.6. The real world interest rate must fall, so the current account surplus in the foreign country equals the current account deficit in the home country. As shown in the figure, S falls, I rises, CA falls,
rw falls.

Figure 5.6

(c)  The foreign country’s saving curve shifts to the left, from to in Figure 5.7. The real world interest rate must rise, so the current account deficit in the foreign country equals the current account surplus in the home country. As shown in the figure, S rises, I falls, CA rises,
rw rises.

Figure 5.7

(d)  If Ricardian equivalence holds, there is no effect. If Ricardian equivalence does not hold, then
the result is the same as in part (b), as the foreign country’s saving curve shifts to the right.